Saudi Arabia has moved towards a more aggressive military stance. This action comes after efforts to reduce tensions with Tehran reached a deadlock. Riyadh had previously been seeking de-escalation, as it is worried about the escalation of war and its impact on regional stability, which is crucial for its economic plans.
Postponement of Meeting Between Iran and Gulf States
A meeting that was scheduled for Monday, September 13, between Iran and several Gulf states regarding the mechanism related to the Strait of Hormuz has been postponed at the request of Saudi Arabia. This request was made amid Riyadh's increasing dissatisfaction with attacks by Iran-backed proxy groups.
Saudi Arabia now faces difficult options. The country does not want an all-out war, but the Houthis may be testing how long Saudi Arabia can bear the cost of avoiding such a conflict. Saad bin Tufla al-Ajmi, a former Kuwaiti information minister, noted this and said, "Saudi Arabia has shown patience so far, but its military options remain on the table."
Impact of Houthi Attacks on Riyadh's Decisions
Houthi attacks on Saudi territory and advances along the Yemeni coast in the Red Sea make Riyadh's continued restraint more difficult. The Saudi-led coalition announced that Houthi missile and drone attacks injured 13 civilians on Monday.
This situation compels Saudi Arabia to regroup and promises to reclaim lost territories. Additionally, the escalation of military conflicts may extend the risks beyond Yemen and have serious impacts on oil markets. The price of Brent crude oil has risen to over $108 per barrel due to disruptions caused by these tensions.
Fernandez, a former senior U.S. diplomat, pointed out that the Houthis may be counting on Saudi Arabia's and the United States' reluctance to engage in a deeper conflict. The current situation suggests that the Houthis may have overestimated Saudi Arabia's restraint.
