After its defeat in the U.S. midterm elections, the Trump administration acknowledged the likely impact of the war with Iran on the election results. Donald Trump stated in an interview that part of this defeat is related to the war with Iran and that people have realized its effect on gas prices.
Delay in Major Attacks on Iran
Analysts believe that the United States and Israel decided not to carry out major attacks on Iran before the elections. Reports also indicate that the Trump administration has warned Gulf countries to prepare for a short and intense military campaign after the elections.
The Impact of Political Changes on Foreign Policy
While foreign policy falls under the authority of the U.S. President, analysts have pointed out that Congress, controlled by the Democratic Party, may limit the necessary budgets for Trump's military actions. In this context, analysts have noted that previous presidents who lose power in Congress typically resort to foreign policies.
Trump has also stated that he is in no rush to carry out new attacks on Iran. Meanwhile, opinions about Iran's next move vary. Iranian officials have declared that they are ready for any attack and may be able to target more objectives than in the past.
Challenges Facing Gulf Countries
Gulf countries, which have been targeted by Iranian attacks since the beginning of the conflicts, are in a difficult situation. Anwar Gargash, a foreign policy advisor from the United Arab Emirates, said at a security conference in Bahrain that these countries are in crisis and are seeking a political solution.
Qatar is trying to mediate between the United States and Iran, while the UAE is conducting emergency drills at its airport. Saudi Arabia is facing threats from two fronts, and even Egypt has strengthened its air defense around the Suez Canal.
Given the current situation, Gulf countries are reassessing their defense partnerships with the United States. Hassan Al-Hassan, a senior researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, pointed to widespread disappointment in the region towards the United States and added that Gulf countries are moving towards self-sufficiency and strategic independence.
