Saudi Arabia has moved towards a more hardline military stance. This action comes after failing to reduce tensions with Tehran. Riyadh had previously sought to de-escalate, as it is concerned about the escalation of war and its impact on regional stability, which is essential for its economic plans.
Postponement of the Iran and Gulf States Meeting
A meeting that was scheduled for Monday, September ٢٣, between Iran and several Gulf states regarding the mechanism related to the Strait of Hormuz has been postponed at the request of Saudi Arabia. This request comes amid Riyadh's increasing dissatisfaction with the attacks by Iran-backed proxy groups.
Saudi Arabia now faces difficult options. The country does not want an all-out war, but the Houthis may be testing how long Saudi Arabia can bear the cost of avoiding such a war. Saad bin Tuflah al-Ajmi, a former Kuwaiti information minister, pointed out this issue, saying: "Saudi Arabia has shown patience so far, but its military options remain on the table."
The Impact of Houthi Attacks on Riyadh's Decisions
Houthi attacks on Saudi territory and advances along the Yemeni coast in the Red Sea make Riyadh's continued restraint more difficult. The Saudi-led coalition announced that Houthi missile and drone attacks injured ١٣ civilians on Monday.
This situation leads Saudi Arabia to regroup and promise to reclaim lost territories. Additionally, the escalation of military conflicts may extend the risks beyond Yemen and have serious impacts on oil markets. Brent crude oil prices have risen to over $١٠٨ per barrel due to disruptions caused by these tensions.
Fernandez, a former senior U.S. diplomat, pointed out that the Houthis may be counting on Saudi Arabia's and the United States' reluctance to engage in a deeper conflict. The current situation suggests that the Houthis may have overestimated Saudi Arabia's restraint.
